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Red50
341420.7
835213.9
71453.4
Blue2
60963.5
78653.6
36324.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4880203040607080502

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.0
21.321.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End5.0
red by 16.1
3632
#27
4.70.3
4.94.7
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Second
13.90.1
14.514.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End6.1
red by 10.3
7865
#11
3.60.3
3.93.6
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
Third
7145
#15
3.40.1
4.04.0
Auto2.1
Teleop1.6
End-0.3
blue by 0.1
6096
#25
3.50.3
3.83.5
Auto1.7
Teleop1.3
End0.5