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Red11
547811.2
52175.3
20488.8
Blue16
835213.9
60963.5
653211.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202701040506070801116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5478
#30
11.21.4
6.14.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End3.5
blue by 2.7
13.90.9
7.46.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End6.1
Second
2048
#17
8.81.4
7.76.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End1.8
blue by 2.8
11.60.9
9.38.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End2.0
Third
5217
#16
5.31.4
6.04.5
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End0.3
red by 1.9
6096
#25
3.50.9
7.86.9
Auto1.7
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed