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Red38
341420.7
78562.8
170123.7
Blue9
59152.8
30968.2
59017.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322001040506070389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.71.0
11.012.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End3.8
red by 15.5
3096
#14
8.21.2
7.46.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End3.0
Second
20.71.0
13.614.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End5.0
red by 13.4
5901
#32
7.31.2
6.04.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End1.2
Third
7856
#26
2.81.0
4.25.2
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.2
Level
5915
#34
2.81.2
6.85.5
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed