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Red27
509013.5
719114.1
78653.6
Blue2
56194.8
71964.3
50652.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2018010304050272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.10.9
6.67.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End4.4
red by 9.3
5619
#21
4.81.7
5.94.2
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.3
Second
13.50.9
8.69.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End3.7
red by 9.2
7196
#37
4.31.7
7.15.4
Auto1.1
Teleop3.0
End0.2
Third
7865
#11
3.60.9
3.44.3
Auto2.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
red by 1.3
5065
#31
2.31.7
4.42.7
Auto2.4
Teleop0.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed