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Red4
59152.8
547811.2
71453.4
Blue24
66164.5
46808.5
170123.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14250102030405060424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5478
#30
11.21.2
6.14.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End3.5
blue by 12.5
23.70.2
12.012.2
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End3.8
Second
7145
#15
3.41.2
3.11.9
Auto2.1
Teleop1.6
End-0.3
blue by 5.1
4680
#33
8.50.2
4.64.8
Auto1.6
Teleop4.1
End2.8
Third
5915
#34
2.81.2
5.54.3
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.0
blue by 1.8
6616
#12
4.50.2
5.75.9
Auto0.9
Teleop0.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed