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Red8
33025.3
60963.5
50652.3
Blue20
71964.3
55324.4
3327.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142801020405060820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3302
#24
5.30.8
6.65.8
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End1.4
blue by 22.1
33
#1
27.40.5
14.113.6
Auto9.7
Teleop11.8
End5.9
Second
6096
#25
3.50.8
5.64.8
Auto1.7
Teleop1.3
End0.5
blue by 0.9
5532
#19
4.40.5
5.04.5
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End1.2
Third
5065
#31
2.30.8
2.71.9
Auto2.4
Teleop0.0
End-0.1
blue by 2.0
7196
#37
4.30.5
5.44.9
Auto1.1
Teleop3.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed