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Red30
170123.7
56420.4
26738.4
Blue2
60963.5
71964.3
36194.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2410020304050302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.6
12.913.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End3.8
red by 19.4
3619
#13
4.31.0
1.70.6
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End1.4
Second
8.40.6
7.48.0
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End3.3
red by 4.1
7196
#37
4.31.0
4.93.8
Auto1.1
Teleop3.0
End0.2
Third
5642
#36
0.40.6
0.30.9
Auto0.8
Teleop0.2
End-0.6
blue by 3.1
6096
#25
3.51.0
4.83.8
Auto1.7
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed