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Red32
341420.7
52175.3
48512.7
Blue12
33025.3
36324.7
25914.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331401020304050603212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.2
21.321.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End5.0
red by 15.5
3302
#24
5.30.3
5.14.9
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End1.4
Second
5217
#16
5.30.2
5.15.3
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End0.3
red by 0.5
2591
#18
4.90.3
5.24.9
Auto2.2
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Third
4851
#28
2.70.3
2.52.7
Auto2.2
Teleop1.0
End-0.5
blue by 2.0
3632
#27
4.70.3
5.65.3
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
5%Hangar oddsMissed5%Hangar oddsMissed