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Red7
78562.8
56194.8
51976.7
Blue14
36324.7
22243.9
20488.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72301020304050714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5197
#20
6.70.2
1.81.6
Auto1.9
Teleop2.0
End2.8
blue by 2.1
2048
#17
8.80.5
10.29.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End1.8
Second
5619
#21
4.80.2
3.73.5
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.3
red by 0.1
3632
#27
4.70.6
5.24.6
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Third
7856
#26
2.80.2
3.43.2
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.2
blue by 1.1
2224
#35
3.90.5
3.83.3
Auto1.4
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed10%Hangar oddsMissed