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Red22
55777.9
55324.4
56194.8
Blue13
47583.6
26738.4
30968.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12250203040502213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5577
#10
7.91.0
5.16.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End3.7
blue by 0.4
8.41.0
8.37.3
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End3.3
Second
5619
#21
4.81.0
2.73.6
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.3
blue by 3.4
3096
#14
8.20.9
8.98.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End3.0
Third
5532
#19
4.40.9
4.85.7
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End1.2
red by 0.8
4758
#22
3.60.9
4.73.8
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed