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Red18
20488.8
66164.5
509013.5
Blue26
26738.4
55777.9
60963.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3317010304050601826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.51.0
14.513.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End3.7
red by 5.1
8.40.4
7.57.8
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End3.3
Second
2048
#17
8.80.8
9.48.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.3
End1.8
red by 0.9
5577
#10
7.90.3
7.07.3
Auto2.3
Teleop2.0
End3.7
Third
6616
#12
4.50.8
5.14.3
Auto0.9
Teleop0.6
End3.0
red by 1.1
6096
#25
3.50.3
3.84.1
Auto1.7
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed