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Red52
3327.4
56194.8
57566.7
Blue12
22243.9
71453.4
25914.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371501020305060705212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
27.41.5
23.324.8
Auto9.7
Teleop11.8
End5.9
red by 22.5
2591
#18
4.91.1
7.15.9
Auto2.2
Teleop1.9
End0.8
Second
5756
#29
6.71.8
4.96.7
Auto2.0
Teleop3.3
End1.4
red by 2.7
2224
#35
3.90.9
4.53.5
Auto1.4
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Third
5619
#21
4.81.8
3.85.5
Auto2.6
Teleop1.8
End0.3
red by 1.4
7145
#15
3.41.0
5.34.2
Auto2.1
Teleop1.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed5%Hangar oddsMissed