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Red35
1239.8
51976.7
36194.3
Blue28
59017.3
547811.2
71964.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15170103040506070803528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#7
9.81.8
8.19.9
Auto2.2
Teleop2.8
End4.9
blue by 1.4
5478
#30
11.20.7
7.38.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End3.5
Second
5197
#20
6.72.0
3.45.3
Auto1.9
Teleop2.0
End2.8
blue by 0.6
5901
#32
7.30.7
4.85.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End1.2
Third
3619
#13
4.31.5
3.14.6
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End1.4
red by 0.1
7196
#37
4.30.7
3.54.3
Auto1.1
Teleop3.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsEarned6%Hangar oddsMissed