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Red18
341420.7
835213.9
71453.4
Blue37
509013.5
719114.1
57566.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4336102030506070801837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.5
21.220.7
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End5.0
red by 6.6
14.10.0
14.314.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End4.4
Second
13.90.5
14.413.9
Auto4.7
Teleop3.0
End6.1
red by 0.4
13.50.1
13.713.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End3.7
Third
7145
#15
3.40.5
3.93.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.6
End-0.3
blue by 3.3
5756
#29
6.70.1
6.97.0
Auto2.0
Teleop3.3
End1.4