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Red54
663725.9
85723.8
55479.3
Blue55
611217.2
360217.9
571412.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6550204060801005455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.2
26.025.8
Auto9.5
Teleop4.3
End12.1
red by 8.0
17.90.1
18.218.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End7.9
Second
857
#1
23.80.2
23.923.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.4
End11.6
red by 6.7
17.20.1
17.517.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End9.0
Third
5547
#34
9.30.2
9.39.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End1.0
blue by 3.2
5714
#20
12.50.1
12.812.9
Auto5.4
Teleop2.4
End4.7