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Red59
439118.6
842515.6
656915.1
Blue39
778220.6
531415.0
60799.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49480204060801005939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#12
18.60.2
17.417.6
Auto8.2
Teleop5.5
End4.8
blue by 2.1
20.60.2
20.520.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End11.0
Second
15.60.2
14.514.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End10.4
red by 0.7
15.00.2
14.914.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.2
End4.0
Third
6569
#27
15.10.2
14.014.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End3.9
red by 5.7
6079
#32
9.40.2
9.49.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End2.1