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Red65
439118.6
842515.6
656915.1
Blue61
778220.6
531415.0
60799.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504710203040607080906561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#12
18.60.3
17.618.0
Auto8.2
Teleop5.5
End4.8
blue by 2.1
20.60.3
20.320.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End11.0
Second
15.60.3
14.715.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End10.4
red by 0.7
15.00.3
14.715.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.2
End4.0
Third
6569
#27
15.10.3
14.214.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End3.9
red by 5.7
6079
#32
9.40.3
9.19.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End2.1