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Red54
611217.2
360217.9
571412.5
Blue43
608811.5
851714.4
498812.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5138102030607080905443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.2
17.517.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End7.9
red by 3.5
8517
#10
14.40.1
14.014.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.0
End5.2
Second
17.20.2
16.816.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End9.0
red by 4.3
4988
#18
12.90.1
12.512.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End3.5
Third
5714
#20
12.50.2
12.112.3
Auto5.4
Teleop2.4
End4.7
red by 1.0
6088
#11
11.50.1
11.211.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End2.4