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Red19
78262.8
54867.9
360217.9
Blue46
439118.6
258617.4
57095.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263801020305060701946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.91.2
11.710.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End7.9
blue by 0.7
4391
#12
18.61.4
10.211.6
Auto8.2
Teleop5.5
End4.8
Second
5486
#23
7.91.2
8.77.4
Auto0.9
Teleop3.7
End3.3
blue by 9.5
2586
#19
17.41.4
14.515.8
Auto6.8
Teleop9.6
End1.1
Third
7826
#33
2.81.2
5.64.3
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End0.6
blue by 3.0
5709
#29
5.81.4
9.110.5
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed