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Red56
550523.9
663725.9
608811.5
Blue21
724417.8
63455.2
65582.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4332010205060705621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.91.9
16.918.8
Auto9.5
Teleop4.3
End12.1
red by 8.1
7244
#17
17.80.7
17.016.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.6
End3.5
Second
23.91.9
12.214.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.7
End9.0
red by 18.8
6345
#25
5.21.2
7.26.0
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End0.4
Third
6088
#11
11.51.9
10.112.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End2.4
red by 9.3
6558
#38
2.21.2
7.46.3
Auto2.5
Teleop0.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsMissed