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Red29
521620.9
48279.2
611217.2
Blue20
63455.2
439118.6
523010.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433502060802920

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.91.1
12.811.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End6.3
red by 2.4
4391
#12
18.62.0
14.312.4
Auto8.2
Teleop5.5
End4.8
Second
17.20.7
15.514.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End9.0
red by 6.9
5230
#14
10.32.0
9.67.7
Auto2.5
Teleop4.5
End3.3
Third
4827
#21
9.21.1
10.99.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End3.7
red by 4.1
6345
#25
5.22.0
9.77.7
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed