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Red41
439118.6
608811.5
43928.5
Blue62
663725.9
57065.3
611217.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3545102030405060704162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#12
18.60.8
11.612.4
Auto8.2
Teleop5.5
End4.8
blue by 7.4
25.92.3
18.821.1
Auto9.5
Teleop4.3
End12.1
Second
6088
#11
11.50.8
12.012.8
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End2.4
blue by 5.7
17.21.4
13.615.0
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End9.0
Third
4392
#35
8.50.8
10.511.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.6
red by 3.2
5706
#31
5.32.3
8.711.0
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed43%Hangar oddsEarned