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Red40
58785.0
360217.9
439118.6
Blue19
43928.5
43759.8
60799.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38341020305060704019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#12
18.60.4
13.313.0
Auto8.2
Teleop5.5
End4.8
red by 8.7
4375
#28
9.81.5
13.011.4
Auto2.7
Teleop5.7
End1.4
Second
17.90.4
14.514.1
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End7.9
red by 8.5
6079
#32
9.41.5
9.47.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End2.1
Third
5878
#36
5.00.4
7.57.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.7
End-1.8
blue by 3.5
4392
#35
8.51.5
10.38.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsMissed