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Red22
9049.7
851714.4
78233.9
Blue10
65582.2
57095.8
571412.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282101040502210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8517
#10
14.40.4
12.512.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.0
End5.2
red by 1.9
5714
#20
12.51.2
7.86.6
Auto5.4
Teleop2.4
End4.7
Second
904
#16
9.70.2
9.89.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.4
End2.9
red by 3.9
5709
#29
5.81.2
6.65.4
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End1.8
Third
7823
#26
3.90.4
2.92.5
Auto1.3
Teleop1.0
End1.6
red by 1.7
6558
#38
2.21.2
6.15.0
Auto2.5
Teleop0.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsMissed