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Red39
57095.8
521620.9
63455.2
Blue13
65582.2
48279.2
159617.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132102040503913

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.6
16.517.1
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End6.3
red by 4.0
1596
#13
17.01.8
14.412.6
Auto6.2
Teleop5.9
End5.0
Second
5709
#29
5.80.6
5.46.0
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End1.8
blue by 3.4
4827
#21
9.21.8
10.08.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End3.7
Third
6345
#25
5.20.6
7.78.3
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End0.4
red by 3.0
6558
#38
2.21.8
5.03.2
Auto2.5
Teleop0.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed