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Red55
85723.8
9049.7
54867.9
Blue23
258617.4
48355.2
608811.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3643102030506070805523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#1
23.82.3
19.722.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.4
End11.6
red by 6.4
2586
#19
17.42.3
18.216.0
Auto6.8
Teleop9.6
End1.1
Second
904
#16
9.71.4
9.610.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.4
End2.9
blue by 1.8
6088
#11
11.52.3
13.611.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End2.4
Third
5486
#23
7.92.3
5.27.5
Auto0.9
Teleop3.7
End3.3
red by 2.7
4835
#24
5.22.3
7.65.3
Auto1.7
Teleop0.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned30%Hangar oddsMissed