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Red25
63455.2
60799.4
9049.7
Blue32
54867.9
851714.4
531415.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293701020405060702532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#16
9.70.8
11.310.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.4
End2.9
blue by 5.3
15.00.1
11.911.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.2
End4.0
Second
6079
#32
9.41.2
10.18.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End2.1
blue by 4.9
8517
#10
14.40.1
12.712.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.0
End5.2
Third
6345
#25
5.21.1
7.05.9
Auto3.1
Teleop1.6
End0.4
blue by 2.7
5486
#23
7.90.1
8.78.6
Auto0.9
Teleop3.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed28%Hangar oddsMissed