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Red28
608811.5
65582.2
656915.1
Blue24
523010.3
57026.2
55479.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2924010204050602824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6569
#27
15.10.2
11.411.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End3.9
red by 4.8
5230
#14
10.30.1
8.68.7
Auto2.5
Teleop4.5
End3.3
Second
6088
#11
11.50.2
11.211.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End2.4
red by 2.2
5547
#34
9.30.1
7.07.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End1.0
Third
6558
#38
2.20.2
3.63.4
Auto2.5
Teleop0.0
End-0.4
blue by 4.0
5702
#37
6.20.1
7.57.6
Auto4.4
Teleop0.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed