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Red40
55479.3
521620.9
57065.3
Blue43
851714.4
842515.6
715410.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3140010205060704043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.5
18.218.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End6.3
red by 5.3
15.60.6
14.114.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End10.4
Second
5547
#34
9.30.5
7.17.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End1.0
blue by 5.1
8517
#10
14.40.6
12.613.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.0
End5.2
Third
5706
#31
5.30.5
5.05.5
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End1.6
blue by 4.9
7154
#15
10.20.6
9.710.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed42%Hangar oddsEarned