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Red76
531415.0
521620.9
258617.4
Blue27
43928.5
78233.9
523010.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions532001030406070807627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.92.5
18.821.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End6.3
red by 10.6
5230
#14
10.30.0
10.710.7
Auto2.5
Teleop4.5
End3.3
Second
2586
#19
17.42.2
14.316.6
Auto6.8
Teleop9.6
End1.1
red by 8.9
4392
#35
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End2.6
Third
15.02.2
12.714.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.2
End4.0
red by 11.1
7823
#26
3.90.0
3.93.9
Auto1.3
Teleop1.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsEarned5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed