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Red63
571412.5
656915.1
663725.9
Blue12
715410.2
57065.3
65582.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5716040801006312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.91.2
24.425.6
Auto9.5
Teleop4.3
End12.1
red by 15.7
7154
#15
10.20.7
11.310.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End2.6
Second
6569
#27
15.11.1
12.914.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End3.9
red by 9.7
5706
#31
5.30.6
5.95.3
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End1.6
Third
5714
#20
12.51.1
11.012.1
Auto5.4
Teleop2.4
End4.7
red by 10.3
6558
#38
2.20.7
2.82.2
Auto2.5
Teleop0.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed