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Red50
258617.4
159617.0
724417.8
Blue52
611217.2
360217.9
571412.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58502030407080901005052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7244
#17
17.80.3
18.217.8
Auto4.8
Teleop9.6
End3.5
blue by 0.1
17.90.1
18.118.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End7.9
Second
2586
#19
17.40.3
17.817.4
Auto6.8
Teleop9.6
End1.1
red by 0.3
17.20.1
17.417.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.6
End9.0
Third
1596
#13
17.00.3
17.317.0
Auto6.2
Teleop5.9
End5.0
red by 4.5
5714
#20
12.50.1
12.712.8
Auto5.4
Teleop2.4
End4.7