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Red32
508617.9
171124.5
612113.3
Blue44
724415.2
360320.7
705613.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64533040607080903244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.6
25.625.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.1
End11.3
red by 3.8
20.70.2
21.321.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End4.3
Second
5086
#12
17.90.6
19.018.4
Auto6.6
Teleop6.2
End5.1
red by 2.8
7244
#13
15.20.2
15.815.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Third
6121
#23
13.30.6
14.413.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End2.9
blue by 0.4
7056
#19
13.70.2
14.314.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End4.1