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Red33
705420.4
323412.3
65815.0
Blue79
191827.9
86125.7
207529.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29510204060801003379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.3
11.311.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.3
End-0.6
blue by 9.1
29.53.8
17.521.3
Auto12.0
Teleop15.5
End2.0
Second
3234
#21
12.30.3
9.59.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End0.8
blue by 15.7
27.93.8
21.525.2
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End11.0
Third
6581
#34
5.00.3
9.49.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End-1.4
blue by 0.6
8612
#22
5.73.8
6.19.9
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed36%Hangar oddsEarned