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Red40
515215.7
542411.7
508617.9
Blue35
724415.2
400412.0
323412.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48270204060804035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5086
#12
17.90.2
14.113.9
Auto6.6
Teleop6.2
End5.1
red by 2.8
7244
#13
15.20.3
8.99.2
Auto3.9
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Second
15.70.2
14.013.8
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End9.2
red by 3.5
3234
#21
12.30.3
10.911.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End0.8
Third
5424
#20
11.70.2
13.913.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.2
End5.5
blue by 0.3
4004
#18
12.00.3
8.28.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed27%Hangar oddsMissed