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Red24
86125.7
84238.6
728911.2
Blue48
716024.5
323412.3
515215.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33490204060802448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7289
#17
11.21.0
11.210.1
Auto2.4
Teleop2.9
End5.9
blue by 13.3
7160
#11
24.50.5
17.518.0
Auto6.4
Teleop7.1
End11.0
Second
8423
#28
8.61.0
11.410.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.6
blue by 7.2
15.70.5
15.115.5
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End9.2
Third
8612
#22
5.71.0
10.89.8
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End2.8
blue by 6.6
3234
#21
12.30.5
11.311.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsEarned