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Red43
207529.5
723412.1
400412.0
Blue39
705613.7
542411.7
102324.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54572040801004339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.9
29.929.1
Auto12.0
Teleop15.5
End2.0
red by 4.8
24.72.5
23.020.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End4.7
Second
7234
#14
12.10.9
12.511.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End3.9
blue by 1.5
7056
#19
13.72.5
17.815.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End4.1
Third
4004
#18
12.00.9
8.57.7
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End3.5
red by 0.3
5424
#20
11.72.5
12.610.1
Auto4.0
Teleop2.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsMissed52%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed