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Red51
65617.3
360320.7
323412.3
Blue61
88326.2
357220.2
171124.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39393035455055605161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.71.1
17.718.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End4.3
blue by 3.8
24.52.1
16.818.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.1
End11.3
Second
3234
#21
12.31.1
12.713.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End0.8
blue by 7.9
3572
#16
20.22.1
16.718.8
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End8.4
Third
6561
#32
7.31.1
6.27.3
Auto1.2
Teleop2.9
End3.2
red by 1.1
8832
#26
6.22.1
3.45.5
Auto3.6
Teleop0.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsEarned