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Red72
508617.9
102324.7
65617.3
Blue91
357220.2
335737.8
515215.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions458120601001207291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.72.0
22.424.4
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End4.7
blue by 13.1
37.81.9
35.437.2
Auto9.2
Teleop18.3
End10.3
Second
5086
#12
17.92.0
17.219.2
Auto6.6
Teleop6.2
End5.1
blue by 2.3
3572
#16
20.21.9
18.820.7
Auto6.3
Teleop5.5
End8.4
Third
6561
#32
7.32.0
7.39.3
Auto1.2
Teleop2.9
End3.2
blue by 8.4
15.71.9
17.219.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.3
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsEarned31%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned