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Red68
335737.8
52565.7
722620.2
Blue72
65617.3
207529.5
705420.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71582040801006872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.2
39.339.5
Auto9.2
Teleop18.3
End10.3
red by 8.3
29.51.2
30.031.2
Auto12.0
Teleop15.5
End2.0
Second
7226
#15
20.20.2
20.320.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End1.9
blue by 0.2
20.41.2
20.121.3
Auto6.7
Teleop14.3
End-0.6
Third
5256
#24
5.70.2
5.45.7
Auto0.8
Teleop0.5
End4.4
blue by 1.7
6561
#32
7.31.2
6.27.3
Auto1.2
Teleop2.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
53%Cargo oddsEarned73%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed