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Red37
65617.3
705613.7
722620.2
Blue57
608117.2
65815.0
191827.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344302060801003757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7226
#15
20.20.4
11.511.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End1.9
blue by 7.7
27.92.0
19.521.5
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End11.0
Second
7056
#19
13.70.4
13.614.0
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End4.1
blue by 3.5
17.22.0
12.214.2
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End4.2
Third
6561
#32
7.30.4
8.18.6
Auto1.2
Teleop2.9
End3.2
red by 2.3
6581
#34
5.02.0
7.49.4
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsEarned