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Red56
102324.7
191827.9
86125.7
Blue42
724415.2
360320.7
705613.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64533040607080905642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.2
28.227.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End11.0
red by 7.3
20.70.4
21.220.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End4.3
Second
24.70.2
24.924.7
Auto6.5
Teleop13.5
End4.7
red by 9.5
7244
#13
15.20.4
15.715.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Third
8612
#22
5.70.2
5.95.7
Auto2.2
Teleop0.7
End2.8
blue by 8.0
7056
#19
13.70.4
14.213.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End4.1