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Red0
567523.1
438129.3
445314.3
Blue71
515221.2
496720.1
10767.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7149020406080100120140071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#1DQ
29.30.3
28.528.8
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End2.6
red by 8.1
21.20.0
21.021.0
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End11.6
Second
5675
#11DQ
23.10.3
22.222.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.0
End5.9
red by 3.0
20.10.0
19.919.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End9.4
Third
4453
#21DQ
14.30.3
13.413.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End7.3
red by 6.4
1076
#31
7.90.0
7.77.7
Auto3.3
Teleop1.1
End3.5