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Red18
432712.9
421616.0
71977.0
Blue36
584316.3
550112.2
555913.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394702060801001836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.00.4
16.516.1
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End9.5
blue by 0.3
5843
#14
16.30.2
16.816.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End11.2
Second
12.90.4
13.413.0
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End3.6
blue by 0.1
5559
#16
13.00.2
13.513.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End3.8
Third
7197
#24
7.00.5
7.67.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End2.4
blue by 5.2
12.20.2
12.712.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End3.5