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Red68
515221.2
496720.1
10767.9
Blue43
546215.6
562313.9
485512.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5245204060801006843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.4
20.821.1
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End11.6
red by 5.6
5462
#10
15.60.0
16.016.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Second
20.10.4
19.720.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End9.4
red by 6.2
13.90.0
14.214.2
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End6.2
Third
1076
#31
7.90.4
7.57.8
Auto3.3
Teleop1.1
End3.5
blue by 4.7
4855
#18
12.60.0
12.912.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End4.8