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Red25
485512.6
562313.9
584316.3
Blue48
515221.2
550112.2
438129.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33490204060801002548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5843
#14
16.30.9
12.111.1
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End11.2
blue by 13.0
29.30.4
17.618.0
Auto9.1
Teleop17.6
End2.6
Second
13.90.9
9.28.3
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End6.2
blue by 7.3
21.20.2
15.315.6
Auto4.9
Teleop4.8
End11.6
Third
4855
#18
12.60.9
12.111.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End4.8
red by 0.4
12.20.4
11.511.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed64%Hangar oddsMissed