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Red35
445314.3
555913.0
562313.9
Blue28
567523.1
71977.0
485512.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1940010305060703528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4453
#21
14.31.6
6.27.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End7.3
blue by 8.8
5675
#11
23.10.7
14.113.4
Auto6.2
Teleop11.0
End5.9
Second
13.91.6
8.49.9
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End6.2
red by 1.3
4855
#18
12.60.7
12.812.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End4.8
Third
5559
#16
13.01.6
6.27.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End3.8
red by 6.0
7197
#24
7.00.7
7.77.0
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsMissed