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Red36
387515.2
584316.3
477610.6
Blue33
421616.0
10767.9
377014.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41331020305060703633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5843
#14
16.30.2
13.513.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End11.2
red by 0.3
16.00.1
12.112.2
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End9.5
Second
3875
#13
15.20.2
13.313.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End1.8
red by 1.1
3770
#12
14.10.1
11.912.0
Auto3.2
Teleop1.7
End9.2
Third
4776
#30
10.60.2
10.910.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End3.1
red by 2.7
1076
#31
7.90.1
8.28.3
Auto3.3
Teleop1.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned51%Hangar oddsEarned