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Red56
555913.0
765814.8
496720.1
Blue37
61508.9
584316.3
377014.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4533102040506070805637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.7
15.216.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End9.4
red by 3.8
5843
#14
16.30.5
13.313.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End11.2
Second
14.81.7
16.318.0
Auto4.3
Teleop1.9
End8.5
red by 0.7
3770
#12
14.10.5
12.012.5
Auto3.2
Teleop1.7
End9.2
Third
5559
#16
13.01.7
9.010.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End3.8
red by 4.1
6150
#29
8.90.5
7.17.6
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsEarned