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Red30
59827.4
477610.6
445314.3
Blue58
81265.9
562313.9
8519.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2737010205060703058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4453
#21
14.30.4
8.28.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.1
End7.3
blue by 5.5
85
#4
19.81.8
16.818.7
Auto6.7
Teleop8.8
End4.3
Second
4776
#30
10.60.4
10.711.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End3.1
blue by 3.3
13.91.8
11.112.9
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End6.2
Third
5982
#26
7.40.4
7.68.0
Auto3.3
Teleop0.1
End4.0
red by 1.5
8126
#28
5.91.8
5.67.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsMissed